Western Europe OTT TV and Video Forecasts

April 2021


Western Europe will have 234 million SVOD subscriptions by 2026, up from 137 million at end-2020.

Despite losing market share, Netflix will remain the largest SVOD platform. Netflix will have 74 million paying subscribers by 2026 – up by 20 million on 2020.

Disney+ will become the second largest platform in 2025. Now available in most Western European countries, Disney+ will have 55 million paying subscribers by 2026; up by 36 million on 2020.

HBO Max will launch in the six countries where it already has operations – the Nordic countries, Portugal and Spain – before end-2021. However, HBO Max will not start in some key European countries due to existing exclusive contracts. For example, HBO’s contract with Sky in Austria, Germany, Ireland, Italy and the UK lasts until 2025.

Simon Murray, Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: “If HBO Max started across the region’s 18 countries in 2021, we estimate that it would amass 10 million subscribers by 2026. This will not happen, so its total will be 3.3 million across six countries by 2026.”

Published in April 2021, this 186-page PDF, PowerPoint and excel report covers movies and TV episodes. The report comes in three parts:
• Insight: Detailed country-by-country analysis in a 90-page PDF document.
• Outlook: Forecasts for 18 countries in a 41-page PowerPoint document full of charts, graphs and bullet points;
• Excel workbook covering each year from 2010 to 2026 for 18 countries by household penetration, by SVOD subscribers and by OTT revenues for movies and TV episodes. As well as summary tables by country and by platform;

Publication Date: April 2021 Report Formats: PDFExcelPowerPoint View Table of Contents (PDF)
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PDF Press release